Forecasting the Number of Prisoners in Nganjuk With Integer-Valued Pth-Order Autoregressive (INAR(P))

Conditional Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the First-Order Spatial Integer-Valued Autoregressive (SINAR(1,1)) Model

‎Recently a first-order Spatial Integer-valued Autoregressive‎ ‎SINAR(1,1) model was introduced to model spatial data that comes‎ ‎in counts citep{ghodsi2012}‎. ‎Some properties of this model‎ ‎have been established and the Yule-Walker estimator has been‎ ‎proposed for this model‎. ‎In this paper‎, ‎we introduce the...

Poisson Difference Integer Valued Autoregressive Model of Order one

This paper aims to model integer valued time series with possible negative values and either positive or negative correlations by introducing the Poisson difference integer valued autoregressive model of order one. This model has Poisson difference marginal distribution and is defined by a new operator called the extended binomial thinning operator. It includes previous integer valued autoregre...

A bivariate first-order signed integer-valued autoregressive process

Stationary solutions for integer-valued autoregressive processes

The purpose of this paper is to introduce and develop a family of Z+-valued autoregressive processes of order p (INAR(p)) by using the generalized multiplication F of van Harn and Steutel (1982). We obtain various distributional and regression properties for these models. A number of stationary INAR(p) processes with specific marginals are presented and are shown to generalize several existing ...

A parametric study for the first-order signed integer-valued autoregressive process

In recent years, many attempts have been made to find accurate models for integer-valued times series. The SINAR (for Signed INteger-valued AutoRegressive) process is one of the most interesting. Indeed, the SINAR model allows negative values both for the series and its autocorrelation function. In this paper, we focus on the simplest SINAR(1) model under some parametric assumptions. Explicitly...